If you enjoy making NFL bets on player touchdowns, then welcome to our Week 18 rundown of favorite anytime TD scorer predictions.
We’ve analyzed each Week 18 game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are the best bets to reach the end zone. All prop bets are taken from DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM.
NFL Week 18 Anytime TD Scorer Predictions
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics culled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.
Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram
These anytime TD recommendations lean into games with postseason stakes. This is the surest way to improving our odds.
Why? Because choosing players in a “meaningless” game carries unique risks. How much will the starters play, if at all? Which backups will see the field, and for how long?
In the final week of last season, scorers included guys like Danny Amendola (twice), Brandon Bolden, Ihmir Smith-Marsette, Demetric Felton, and Corey Clement. Would you have put money down on any of them? Perhaps. But candidly, these and other tertiary options don’t constitute the kind of bets I recommend. Yes, dart throws are fun. But they usually miss.
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That’s why I’m all in on the Jaguars’ players in a must-win game against the Titans. Tennessee’s run defense remains strong, which is why I wouldn’t recommend Travis Etienne Jr., who should garner no better than -100 odds.
Instead, I like Trevor Lawrence scoring at least twice through the air. Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram are his three best receivers these days (and most days, candidly). I believe at least two will find the end zone in a Jacksonville victory. Perhaps all three. It could be a nice payday for bettors.
Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon
The Chiefs are playing for the AFC’s No. 1 seed and the all-important first-round bye. The opposing Raiders are playing for nothing.
I actually expect a fairly close game (i.e. 8-10 points), as long as Vegas runs with their starters. That should keep K.C.’s starters on the field for most of the game, too.
Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon are a formidable tandem and weekly scoring threats. Collectively, 10 of their touchdowns have come from the 10-yard line or closer. The Raiders have largely struggled on defense, yielding the eighth-most points while earning the second-fewest takeaways.
In other words, the Chiefs should move the ball fairly easily and consistently, culminating in plenty of scoring opportunities. Pacheco and McKinnon are solid bets to find the end zone.
Christian McCaffrey, Jordan Mason, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle
The Cardinals were the final undefeated team last season at 7-0. Alongside the Rams, perhaps no team has fallen further faster. Arizona’s lost eight of nine contests. Coincidentally, their one win during this stretch was against the Rams.
Arizona’s yielding the fourth-most points and likely will start their fourth-string QB once again. It’s a messy situation that should lead to short drives and plenty of scoring opportunities for the 49ers.
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Speaking of which, San Francisco is flying high and still in contention for the NFC’s No. 1 seed. Even the No. 2 seed would guarantee them a home game in the second round if they win the opener.
The key here is that San Francisco has every incentive to beat Arizona. That should keep their starters engaged for at least the first half, and longer if the game’s still close. In a blowout win, we might see plenty of Jordan Mason, who should bring the kind of long-shot odds we like to see in RBs with 10+ touch potential.
Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon
The Packers and Lions will face off in a Week 18 battle few expected back in Week 1. With a little help, a Detroit victory could catapult them to the postseason, while Green Bay controls their playoff fate with a win.
Despite an improved defense, the Lions likely don’t have the playmakers to slow the experienced tandem of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. They each have seven touchdowns a piece. After a slow start, Dillon has stepped up, and Jones is once again dominating with 5.2 yards per carry and a robust 56 receptions.
Notably, the Lions have yielded the third-most RB rushing scores while surrendering a healthy 4.8 yards per carry. It’s hard to envision them shutting down or even slowing a Packers offense that’s hit another gear at the ideal time.