If you’re planning to make NFL prop bets for this fierce Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Week 17 matchup on Sunday Night Football, then you’ve come to the right place.
We’ve analyzed the game’s highest-probability scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated and which could fall short of expectations. All prop bets are based on DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, or FanDuel Sportsbook, where you can get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000.
Top Ravens vs. Steelers Player Props To Target
The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics pulled from decades of NFL historical data. Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes.
These recommended bets assume the Ravens will beat the Steelers by a rough score of 20-13. Baltimore boasts one of the top run defenses, yielding only 3.8 yards per carry. They also have one of the top pass rushes, securing the fifth most sacks (44). Additionally, they’re tied for fourth with 24 forced turnovers.
It could be tough sledding on offense for Pittsburgh.
The last time these teams met, Kenny Pickett exited with an injury in the first quarter after two hapless drives. Backup Mitch Trubisky took over, helping to march the Steelers into Baltimore territory on every successive drive. But three interceptions doomed him and Pittsburgh in a winnable game.
With a healthy Pickett back under center, we might consider whether he can move the ball as well as Trubisky did. Presumably, yes. But if this turns into a run-heavy, field-position-focused, defensive battle, then Pickett will probably operate more conservatively, capping the ceilings of his top receivers.
MORE: NFL Week 17 Best Bets
As for Baltimore, Mark Andrews’ slump is as odd as it is concerning. At some point, he’ll snap out of it. But will that time come this season or next?
In the backfield, Gus Edwards outplayed J.K. Dobbins last weekend. Is this a sign of things to come? Might this be a hot-hand RB corps? Both guys have 80-yard upsides and 30-yard floors.
Tyler Huntley Player Props
The Steelers have yielded only 15.5 QB rushing yards per game. Considering their opponents have included Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, and Marcus Mariota, that’s all the more impressive.
In what could be a grind-it-out game on the ground, we might envision Tyler Huntley contributing with 7+ carries — something he’s done in three of four contests.
But I like Pittsburgh mostly containing him on the ground and through the air. The Ravens will win this on the defensive end, enabling Huntley to serve more as a game manager.
- Rushing yards under 37.5
(-110) — BetMGM - Passing yards under 168.5
(-114) — FanDuel - Interceptions under 0.5
(-125) — BetMGM
Gus Edwards Player Props
Nick Chubb gets a lot of deserved credit for averaging 5.0+ yards per carry in each of his first four seasons. Gus Edwards arguably gets much less credit for the same achievement.
While he doesn’t get the volume of a bell cow or even a lead back, Edwards has quietly assembled one of the most efficient stat lines of any RB playing today. His usage alongside J.K. Dobbins should consist of 8-12 touches. That probably will elevate him above 38 rushing yards against Pittsburgh.
- Rushing yards over 38.5
(-114) — FanDuel
Mark Andrews Player Props
Remember when I wrote that Huntley likely won’t do much damage through the air? Well, that wouldn’t preclude Mark Andrews from exceeding his basement-level prop lines.
These lines exist because of Andrews’ weak numbers over the past three games, as he’s totaled just eight catches and 93 yards. Yet, he’s still Huntley’s co-No. 1 target alongside Demarcus Robinson.
There might be some frustration for Andrews since he’s dropped a career-high eight balls on 104 targets. We can’t gloss over that. But the Ravens cannot afford to enter the postseason with a cold Andrews. In what is objectively the NFL’s least effective WR corps, Baltimore’s “formerly” elite TE is a great bet to improve his production.
- Receptions over 3.5
(-150) — DraftKings - Receiving yards over 44.5
(-115) — DraftKings
Najee Harris Player Props
Could Najee Harris score tonight? Absolutely. Will one of the league’s least efficient starting RBs get stymied by one of the best run defenses? Probably.
MORE: NFL Week 17 Predictions
Harris has averaged more than 3.6 yards per carry only once in his last five games. The potentially more talented Jaylen Warren looms. In a must-win game for the Steelers, if Harris struggles early, I can see the team turning to Warren earlier than expected.
Basically, there’s nice fantasy upside for Harris, as usual. He has five TDs in his last six games. But he’ll probably need 18 carries to hit his prop line, and I don’t see him exceeding 15.
- Rushing yards under 57.5
(-115) — BetMGM